After the NDA’s landslide victory within the Bihar meeting elections, Prime Minister Narendra Modi declared, “The Ganges will move by Bihar and attain West Bengal.” Regardless of rising its vote share over time, the occasion has struggled within the face of the Trinamool Congress (TMC).
Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is main the TMC’s anti-SIR marketing campaign by holding rallies in Muslim-majority districts of Malda and Murshidabad on Wednesday and Thursday, however election knowledge exhibits that of the 174-member Lok Sabha (out of a complete of 294), no less than 15% are Muslim voters (Muslims make up 27% of the inhabitants, in keeping with the 2011 census). The Bharatiya Janata Social gathering has made progress in: Nevertheless it has struggled to transform its rising presence into seats.
2014 Rock Saba
The BJP, a marginal participant in Bengal for many years, rose to prominence in Bengali politics after Narendra Modi got here to energy on the Heart in 2014. Out of 174 seats, the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering led in simply eight parliamentary segments (every parliamentary seat is made up of a number of segments) and its vote share in these constituencies improved to fifteen.44%. TMC led with 120 Meeting segments, adopted by Congress with 26 and Left with 20 segments.
2016 Congress
After the TMC defeated the anti-incumbents and returned to energy, it gained 124 out of 174 seats, whereas the BJP led by only one seat, lowering its general vote share within the 174 seats to 10.03%. The Congress gained 29 such seats and the Left gained 20 such seats. The very best vote share was in Vaishnav Nagar with 38.2%, with solely 9 seats receiving greater than 20% vote share.
2019 Rock Saba
The 2019 polls not solely noticed the BJP return to energy on the Heart with the largest mandate in its historical past, nevertheless it additionally carried out finest in Bengal, profitable 18 seats in opposition to the TMC’s 22 and the Congress’s two.
In 174 segments, the BJP’s vote share rose to 35.42%, which was sufficient to steer in 42 segments, whereas the Left’s complete vote share declined to 7.22%, which was zero. TMC secured 46.08% of the votes and got here first in 123 segments. Congress additionally fell to 7.98% however nonetheless led in 9 segments.
The BJP succeeded in securing over 20% vote share in 153 segments, together with 128 segments with over 30% vote share, 67 segments with over 40% vote share and 13 segments with 50% vote share. The occasion’s highest vote share in these seats was 59.33% for Mr. Bhatpara and 59.06% for Mr. Kurti.
2021 Congress
Regardless of expectations that the TMC would return to energy for a 3rd time period and displace Mamata Banerjee’s seat, the BJP fell brief, profitable 77 seats within the Lok Sabha and changing into the principle opposition occasion for the primary time.
Nevertheless, in 174 seats, the TMC managed to widen its lead on the expense of the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering, Congress and the Left. The TMC gained 147 such seats, of which 26 have been gained by the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering and one seat by the Indian Secular Entrance (ISF), which varieties a part of the Indian bloc.
Regardless of the decline in seats gained (or led) from the 2019 Indian Meeting polls, the BJP was capable of preserve its vote share in these seats at 34.78%, second solely to the TMC’s 50.7%.
Nevertheless, it was a big enchancment from the 2016 efficiency as BJP candidates misplaced their safety deposit in solely 11 of those seats in comparison with 159 5 years in the past.
The BJP gained over 20% of the vote in 157 seats, of which 123 seats acquired over 30%, 61 seats acquired over 40%, and seven seats acquired over 50%. The occasion’s highest vote share was 54.69% in Tufanganj.
2024 Rock Sabah
In final yr’s polls, the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering largely maintained its 2019 place, however barely improved from the 2021 Meeting polls. General, the BJP lowered to 12 seats whereas the TMC led with 29 seats.
The Bharatiya Janata Social gathering gained 34.72% of the votes in 174 segments the place Muslims accounted for 15% and led in 34 segments. TMC led in 128 segments (47.97% vote share) adopted by Congress in 11 segments (6.92%).
The BJP additionally maintained the next vote share on the parliamentary unit stage in comparison with its efficiency in 2019 and 2021. The very best vote share was once more in Bhatpara with 54.28%, whereas 154 classes secured 20% or extra, together with 121 classes with 30% or extra, 60 with 40% or extra, and eight with 50% or extra.
